Thursday, August 25, 2011

Brisbane vs West Coast Preview – 2011 AFL Season – Round 23

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Key Players

Simon Black

Brisbane's most highly credentialed midfielder is still going strong at 32, with his disposal numbers even up slightly from last year.He would be the most likely candidate to face a tag from Scott Selwood.

Luke Power

Brisbane's only other remaining member from their triple premiership years, normally performs well against West Coast. His disposals are down from previous years, but he is hitting the scoreboard more frequently this year, averaging a goal per game He is most likely to go head to head with Andrew Embley, if not tagged, which would be an intriguing match-up.

Tom Rockliff

Finds a prolific amount of the football, his 27.8 disposals per game has him ranked 8th in the league for disposals per game this season, impressive for a 3rd year player - just as importantly he managed to hit the scoreboard well last week with 2 goals and 1 goal assist to add amongst his 30 disposals - likely to go head to head against Luke Shuey, who although doesn't quite get the same disposals numbers, has a large impact with what gets has translating to goals and scoring opportunities for others, Brisbane will need a similar strong performance from him this week if they are to challenge West Coast.

Matt Leuenberger

The lean mobile Leuenberger who models himself on one of his direct opponents this week, has been good this season, particularly the past 2 weeks with strong games against Gold Coast (19 disposals, 8 marks, 42 hitouts, 2 goals, 1 goal assist) and Collignwood (24 disposals, 7 marks 33 hitouts). He faces a ruckman's toughest assignment in footy at the moment going up against Dean Cox and Nic Naitanui.

Daniel Rich

The powerful, long kicking midfielder was the substitute last week, but should get a full game in his second game back from injury this week. His left foot is always a threat of busting even the best zone open so he can't be given too latitude.  If in the midfield he could find himself opposed to Andrew Gaff who will test his weak aerobic capacity or if played forward he might get some attention from the returning Pat McGinnity.

Prediction

A bottom 4 vs a top 4 team should produce an obvious and clear result regardless of location, but Brisbane have been much improved in the last 3 weeks with a narrow 5 point loss to Adelaide, a 62 point win over local rivals, Gold Coast and an 18 point loss to reigning premiers and current top of the ladder, Collingwood, at the MCG. I think they'll put up a decent fight for part of the game, but in the end I expect West Coast to be too good.

West Coast by 35 points.

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